The problem with assessing Unidentified Aerial Phenomenon as Extraterrestrials

IF THE LEAK behind the UAPTF report is to be believed, we are seeing hundreds of cases involving Unidentified Aerial Phenomenon (UAP), of which the majority are unidentified. Obviously, we must wait for the case report data to determine a more adequate conclusion, but arguably the ‘Unidentified’ nature of such incursions isn’t due to a lack of additional sensory data, they are unidentified because they are unidentifiable. Take Gimble, Go Fast and FLIR, these are objects within DOD established UAP videos that do things that the U.S. military do not have an answer for (and are not birds and balloons as some internet conspiracy theorists suggest). If UAP are non-human, does this mean that the objects are extraterrestrial?

Last week the New York Times leaked some information about the upcoming UAPTF report on UAP (UFOs). One of the conclusions was that they couldn’t rule out extraterrestrials, nor could they confirm it either.

“The report determines that a vast majority of more than 120 incidents over the past two decades did not originate from any American military or other advanced U.S. government technology, the officials said. That determination would appear to eliminate the possibility that Navy pilots who reported seeing unexplained aircraft might have encountered programs the government meant to keep secret.”
— New York Times, 03/06/2021

We, at team UAPMedia have learnt that the question is most probably much more complex than ‘extraterrestrials’ or ‘foreign adversarial’. But to fully understand the scope of what we are dealing with, we need to look closely at the historical UFO phenomena and if it suggests extraterrestrials.

Extraterrestrials would be classified as non-human, intelligent beings or craft, travelling to Earth from another planet, potentially from somewhere in outer space using a technology that isn’t linear thrust propulsion and primarily based on chemical reactionary rockets. At least, if they are coming here from there, then they (who or whatever they are) are much more advanced than we are in the 21st century. 

But the question is, are, these anomalous vehicles really from another planet? Is it really that simple? Or is the UAP issue much more complex? To have a better understanding of the extraterrestrial concept, we must travel back and wade, feet first, through the murky, credulity swamp that is mainstream Ufology. An almost impossible place to navigate, where the real treasures are buried deep beneath the mud and thick wet soil, a place where you are much more likely to become bogged down and sink than to come away with the answers of a lifetime. However, the truth is out there, buried beneath.


Most notably within Ufology, the earliest commonly known definition of UAP and UFOs was attributed to the wave of ‘Flying Saucers/Discs’. These potential anomalous vehicles are notoriously considered to be associated with the Hollywood depiction of ‘little grey men.’ These life forms are alleged to be ash-grey in skin colour, have big heads, large black almond eyes, standing at only 4ft tall and they are said to have telepathic ability.  The ‘Greys’ have a long association with Ufology stories going back as far as Roswell in 1947, and beyond. They are often noted as being part of the much contentious and stigmatised abduction phenomena. Some cases (Bob Lazar, Betty and Barney Hill), have indicated the Greys made claims that they come from the Zeta Reticular star system. These stories are fantastic and should be highly scrutinised, we must question the validity of such claims on a case by case basis without losing our objectivity. 

Another problem is that these claims are incredibly difficult to validate, particularly without access to the original source, and by that I mean we don’t have anything to study, no ‘extraterrestrial biological entity’ (EBE) to question or to put on a lie detector machine. 

 And then we also have the problem - that even if the EBE ‘Grey Alien’ was indeed actually real, and genuinely telling the experiencer or government personnel, etc, they are from another planet, can we actually trust what we are being told. Even if the Greys are real, and flying around in anti-gravity discs, and then abducting humans under certain circumstances – can we trust if they are being truthful with us? What if they are projecting what humans expect to be told for some unknown obscure reason? Again, we simply cannot trust the data as verified facts for many differing reasons. You might understand why the scientific community has stood-off such claims for 70 years. 

For me, we need to thoroughly strip back our assumptions about UAP being extraterrestrials.

Until we have access to extensive radar data which spans out into deep space and tracks potential UAP-spacecraft entering Earth’s atmosphere, extraterrestrials therefore cannot be ruled out as a possible explanation for UAP/UFOs, otherwise, how can we confirm they are from someplace else in the solar system or galaxy. I hold judgment about the reality of the ‘Grey Alien’, and although the consensus in mainstream Ufology is that there are dead creatures taken from crashed UAP retrieval operations that span back to the 1940s, I am reluctant to conclusively accept this as fact without further data or the acknowledgement of government.


Another issue I found with the extraterrestrial hypothesis, and a very important question that should be asked, is why don’t astronomers see UAP in space? After all, astronomers and astro-physicists can track and scientifically observe celestial bodies as they enter our solar system. Take the much publicised ‘Oumuamua,’ that passed though in 2017, becoming the subject of much debate due to its unusual dynamics. This interstellar object was tracked as it came into our solar system and did a ‘drive-by’. My question, is where are all the reports of extraterrestrial-UAP as they travel back or forward through our solar-system?

Artist’s conception of Oumuamua, our first recorded interstellar visitor and the subject of a book by astrophysicist Avi Loeb of Harvard University. ©European Southern Observatory / M. Kornmesser

Artist’s conception of Oumuamua, our first recorded interstellar visitor and the subject of a book by astrophysicist Avi Loeb of Harvard University. ©European Southern Observatory / M. Kornmesser

Consider, for the hundreds and hundreds of MUFON annually reported cases worldwide, we don’t see the equivalent reporting from astronomers and various space surveying organisations. If there really were all these objects consistently visiting Earth, the UAP leaving and entering Earth’s orbit would fill the skies and thus be tracked by our scientists doing all these amazing technological feats. But we don’t see that. 

The numbers don’t add up. 

To answer this, we can assume that either the UAP reports made within MUFON aren’t genuinely anomalous, thus reducing the amount of exposure for observations in Earth’s orbit. Or, as some have theorised, maybe there is a conspiracy by NASA, the European Space Agency and the extensive civilian world surveillance system companies. This seems unlikely, even though there are some interesting occasions where NASA have cut the feed to the space station cameras as something appears in orbit. However, these could have been ice particles, satellites, space dust or space debris – we simply can’t conclude and certainly don’t know why the feed was cut, if intentionally at all.  To me, it seems highly unlikely that scientists would all be in on the ‘cover-up.’

What other alternatives might explain this problem? Well, another alternative, is that all the hundreds of UAP reported objects are accurate and indeed anomalous, however they are mistakenly recorded by astronomers, scientists etc, as meteorological phenomena, space junk, satellites, the space station and/or classified military technology (Space Force vehicles). However, that would also mean that such professionals couldn’t appropriately track or identify something unusual in the night skies, and this would have had to have occurred multiple times. Let’s consider the 1997 Phoenix Lights triangle craft (pic below, or the Stephenville 2008 case), in which multiple reports stated that the object(s) in question was over a mile wide - how does that massive vehicle go untracked by the world’s military and civilian scientists as it enters and leaves Earth’s atmosphere? Also, keep in mind that we were able to track the Hale-Bopp comet months in advance of it entering our solar system.   

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You might argue the military would keep radar data and satellite data classified/quiet, and certainly not run to the press, but I fail to believe that the quantity and quality of UAP reports within Earth’s atmosphere aren’t also seen by civilians as they hypothetically travel outside of Earth’s atmosphere. 

One more logical hypothesis is based around the assumption of UAP technology itself. Should UAP be extraterrestrial, it would mean that they aren’t using rocket propulsion technology, it would mean that they are using a form of advanced physics that we don’t understand. Potentially, it might also mean that this UAP propulsion technology is so quick that they are evading tracking? Maybe they use another form of alternative dimensional travel that means we don’t see them on our deep space radar or via satellites, or by the world’s most sophisticated planetariums and observatories as they enter and leave for deep space.   


From a psychological intention perspective, the question of why they haven’t landed on the White House lawn remains a big question in answering this contradictory UAP mystery. Firstly, you might argue they haven’t openly landed because they are our enemy, they have intentions of hostility toward humans. That may be a covert operation, using stealthy tactics in some operation we have no idea about. Possibly, the UAP vehicles that we are seeing are probes, sent to scope out and map Earth prior to either an invasion or annihilation process. Secondly, we must consider they are here to make peaceful contact with us at the right time, and their intentions towards us are protective in the same way we protect certain vulnerable lesser creatures here on Earth. Potentially, you might explain this constant observation as a ‘Zoo Hypothesis’, that they are keeping us in check, monitoring our spiritual and biological development, ensuring we don’t annihilate the planet with our nuclear weapons, which might explain why they turned up in numbers after the first atomic detonation in July 1945. 

Possibly, they may have some unknown bases on the moon or within the oceans, some type of outpost they can check in and out from. Again, this ventures into some hard conspiracies. Any such extraterrestrial base would have been detected by the world’s militaries long ago. 

Additionally however, if they were like us, and had come here in exploration and peace, they would have landed and made contact, openly talked to us and said to us what we need to be doing about nuclear proliferation or climate change. At least, that’s a very human expectation of what we think they would do, providing that we didn’t view our hosts as a threat. 

But then, is that true?

Maybe we, as exploring humans (as the extraterrestrials) would step back from our unwitting hosts in the same way we do on an African safari, or with a lost indigenous tribe, maybe we know that our direct exposure would completely change them, and their way of life. Would we want to leave them alone?

When the Conquistadors landed in South America it was the viral infections which wiped out the native Aztec and Inca people, for which they had no immune defence. Should there be biological entities piloting UAP vehicles, what advanced bacteria and diseases do they carry? If any? What devastating impact might such infectious viruses do to our race of primitive humans from the 21st century. 

Consequently, this brings up a whole range of questions.

Should the UAP be of extraterrestrial origin, how would they consider us? Maybe not as intelligent creatures, but a biological specimen limited by understanding and imagination. Maybe they are simply apathetic to us. After all, despite us being intelligently more advanced than an ant, we might not even be considered any more advanced to the extraterrestrials who might be millions or billions of years more advanced. What could we possibly offer them?

We can ask, what else might explain the strange elusive behaviour of the UAP? 


Historically, extraterrestrials are the most commonly thought of explanation for ‘UFOs.’ Consequently, the ideology of ‘aliens’ within Western society has become unfortunately stigmatised in a way which prevents serious conversation. Scientists have become so intoxicated by the negative connotations of extraterrestrials being here on Earth, that the topic is ridiculed very quickly. Additionally, we at UAPMedia have found that a certain astronomy demographic within a well known organisation that searches for intelligent life has become religious in its dismissal of anything to do with the anomalous phenomena. Then there is the question of reputations and funding, ‘if’ it comes to light that UAP are a form of extraterrestrial intelligence, it would mean an incredible humiliation for the scientific community who received millions and millions in their research whilst the field of ‘Ufology’ was left to fester and decay under the influence of hoaxes, con-men and well meaning semi-professional researchers.  And then, there is the extreme subjective shock-factor involved with the extraterrestrial hypothesis that has proved to be grounds for completely dismissing the phenomena, aka, ‘it can’t be, therefore it isn’t’. Such a shock factor hasn’t been helped by the mainstream. 

After 70 + years of the mainstream media and Hollywood exploiting extraterrestrials as the evil unknown that wants to annihilate and eat the human race, we are left with a form of conditioning that has created the conditions for psychological barriers. Barriers which impact rational thought and logical decision making on such an important issue. The extraterrestrial hypothesis for explaining Unidentified Anomalous Phenomenon has for too long been significantly tainted by factors unrelated to appropriate scientific methodology. The will to believe and disbelieve has clouded research to the point it becomes meaningless. Researcher bias has resulted in critical errors and flaws within mainstream Ufology that includes both ‘believers’ and ‘debunkers’. 

Ufology of course is a problem. It’s too easy to accept and dismiss, too easy to project ones own wishes and needs onto, too easy to maintain a paradigm of ridicule and stereotypes. And most importantly, it’s too easy to assume UFOs are extraterrestrials without evidence. 

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The first wave classified in the modern era of UFOs, the proceeding 1947 wave of ‘Flying Saucers’ were the first concept that humans attributed an interplanetary origin to such phenomena. From the understanding of humans in the 1940s, the extraterrestrial hypothesis makes sense from the perspective of those understanding UFOs at that time. Men from Mars and Venus was the thinking prior to the developments through astronomy in the mid to late 20th century. Although the planetary origin changed with time and increased knowledge, the basic concept of UAP origin remained. Even today, most mainstream people who haven’t researched the topic believe that if UFOs/UAP are real, then they must be aliens coming from another planet. Additionally, the extraterrestrial hypothesis is the most quoted throughout mainstream Ufology, from Dr Steven Greer to Stephen Bassett, who is a prominent activist for UAP disclosure at a government level. They possibly might be right, however, we can’t say that with any confidence right now, even with the acknowledgment that anomalous technology is real and possibly non-human. 

Then there is the consideration that UAP aren’t extraterrestrials at all, that they are originating from someplace else, inner Earth, the oceans, Antarctica or even some other form of dimensional existence or another universe. The possibilities are endless. 

However, this is an unfortunate pre-conclusion that doesn’t have all the information to hand. Essentially, we do not have the radar data which would show where these UAP are coming from and where they go to once the encounters have been reported. For the extraterrestrial hypothesis to be a consideration, we need to see UAP tracked from deep space as it enters our solar system and then into our atmosphere. Even then, how do we check the craft/beings are specifically from another planet? Do we check their passports? Do we believe them at their word that they are from Zeta-Reticulum? For me, the ETH is too simplistic to explain all of the phenomena.

Again, possibly some are craft from another planet, but I reserve judgement at this point. We will still need to seriously consider the extraterrestrial hypothesis until we can rule it out, but it comes down to data. Data which we don’t have right now.

Adam Goldsack

https://www.twitter.com/AdamGoldsack
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